CMC \u2013 The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) is warning Caribbean countries to be prepared for \u201cincreased tropical cyclones and severe weather activity\u201d over the next three months.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt cannot be over emphasised \u2014 particularly after the record-breaking Category 5 hurricane Beryl, plenty of flooding and nearly non-stop record-breaking heat \u2014 that\u00a02024 is a year of climate extremes\u00a0in the Caribbean.\u201d<\/p>\n
In its latest Caribbean Climate Outlooks publication released on Monday, CariCOF said that a transition to La Ni\u00f1a may occur in the equatorial Pacific while near record-warm Tropical North Atlantic Ocean temperatures will likely continue.<\/p>\n
La Ni\u00f1a\u00a0is a climate pattern that describes the cooling of surface-ocean water along the tropical west coast of South America.<\/p>\n
Typically, La Ni\u00f1a events occur every three to five years or so, but on occasion can occur over successive years.<\/p>\n
\u201cFor the Caribbean Islands and Belize, such ocean conditions imply increased tropical cyclone and severe weather activity through December, resulting in high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts,\u201d CariCOF said.<\/p>\n
It said unusual oceanic heat further implies episodes of \u201coppressive humid heat could continue intoearly-November\u201d, particularly in the ABC Islands (Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao), the Guianas and the Windward Islands.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe Guianas will transition from the hot and dry season into cooler and (much) wetter conditions from late November, except in the far southwest,\u201d CariCOF added.<\/p>\n
It said that as of September 1, severe or short term drought has developed in Trinidad and worse drought conditions are being recorded in the interior parts of the Guianas.<\/p>\n
It said short term drought may be possible in Suriname.<\/p>\n
\u201cLong term drought as at the end of November is evolving in southwest Belize, French Guiana and Trinidad and might possibly develop or continue in coastal Guyana, the United States Virgin islands, St Vincent and Tobago,\u201d CariCOF added.<\/p>\n
Regarding the climate outlook for the period January to March 2025, CariCOF said night time and day time temperatures, as well as air humidity will likely be considerably higher than usual in most areas.<\/p>\n
\u201cFrequent episodes of heat stress are expected the region is likely to continue through October in this record-breaking heat season. Heat stress may further ramp up where dry spells are more frequent than usual.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis period marks the progression of the Caribbean Dry Season to its usual peak by March and the Cool Season. An unseasonably warm Tropical North Atlantic, potentially combined with La Ni\u00f1a conditions is forecast for this period.\u201d<\/p>\n
But CariCOF said that more comfortable temperatures, though likely higher and with more humidity than usual are forecast for this Cool Season.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe risk of severe weather impacts from intense shower activity, including flooding, flash floods, and cascading impacts should decrease from moderate in early January to marginal in early March in Belize and the islands.<\/p>\n
\u201cAn intense Dry Season is forecast for the Bahamas, Cayman Islands and Cuba, potentially leading to short-term drought. By contrast, unusually copious rainfall is forecast for the ABC Islands, Guianas and Lesser Antilles,\u201d it added.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
CMC \u2013 The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) is warning Caribbean countries to be prepared for \u201cincreased tropical cyclones and severe weather activity\u201d over the next three months. \u201cIt cannot be over emphasised \u2014 […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[41],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12676","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-regional-news"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?fit=660%2C371&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?fit=660%2C371&ssl=1",660,371,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg",660,371,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg",660,371,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?resize=150%2C150&ssl=1",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?fit=300%2C169&ssl=1",300,169,true],"large":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?fit=660%2C371&ssl=1",660,371,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?fit=660%2C371&ssl=1",660,371,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?fit=660%2C371&ssl=1",660,371,true],"mh-magazine-slider":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?resize=660%2C371&ssl=1",660,371,true],"mh-magazine-content":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?resize=660%2C371&ssl=1",660,371,true],"mh-magazine-large":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?resize=660%2C371&ssl=1",660,371,true],"mh-magazine-medium":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?resize=326%2C245&ssl=1",326,245,true],"mh-magazine-small":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drealfmgrenada.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/rain-clouds.jpg?resize=80%2C60&ssl=1",80,60,true]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"adminrfm","author_link":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/author\/adminrfm\/"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Regional News<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"CMC \u2013 The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) is warning Caribbean countries to be prepared for \u201cincreased tropical cyclones and severe weather activity\u201d over the next three months. \u201cIt cannot be over emphasised \u2014 [...]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12676"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12676\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12678,"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12676\/revisions\/12678"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}