{"id":3237,"date":"2019-02-26T11:31:00","date_gmt":"2019-02-26T15:31:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/?p=3237"},"modified":"2019-02-26T11:31:00","modified_gmt":"2019-02-26T15:31:00","slug":"both-democracy-and-authoritarianism-are-on-the-rise-in-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drealfmgrenada.com\/index.php\/2019\/02\/26\/both-democracy-and-authoritarianism-are-on-the-rise-in-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Both Democracy And Authoritarianism Are On The Rise In Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Nic Cheeseman<\/strong>
\nGuest Contributor<\/p>\n

\"Democracy<\/a>Is democracy in Africa in retreat? Or is it simply suffering \u201cgrowing pains\u201d? The last 12 months have seen a great deal of controversy and debate on these important questions.<\/p>\n

There have been some bright spots, like the rise of more resilient opposition movements in the\u00a0Democratic Republic of Congo<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Uganda<\/a>. But elsewhere on the continent, as in\u00a0Tanzania<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Zambia<\/a>, repression is on the rise.<\/p>\n

A\u00a0new report<\/a>\u00a0I have produced for the\u00a0Bertlesmann Transformation Index<\/a>\u00a0on democratic trends between 2015 and 2018 comes to two very important conclusions about the state of democracy in Africa today.<\/p>\n

First, the continent experienced an overall deterioration in the quality of almost all indicators of political and economic governance. The fall is not massive, though, and so it makes more sense to speak of democratic difficulties than democratic collapse. However, the decline is real. Its impact has been to move the continent further away from political stability, democratisation, and economic sustainability.<\/p>\n

Second, there is not one \u201cAfrica\u201d. Instead, it\u2019s essential to look beyond regional averages because they mask a remarkably divided continent. Today there are almost the same number of defective democracies (15) as there are hard line autocracies (16), among the continent\u2019s 54 states.<\/p>\n

To understand democracy in Africa, therefore, it\u2019s important to look both at the general trend and the remarkable variation.<\/p>\n

Democratic backsliding<\/strong><\/em>
\nThe data collected by the\u00a0Bertelsmann Transformation Index<\/a>\u00a0shows that the average score for every measure of political change in Africa fell between 2015 and 2017. This means there was an overall decline in the quality of political participation, rule of law and the capacity of the state in a number of areas.<\/p>\n

The stability of democratic institutions, as well as political and social integration, also declined. Some of these changes are relatively small. But they are also consistent with a decade of democratic backsliding and the entrenchment of authoritarianism.<\/p>\n

In line with these trends, more countries moved towards authoritarian rule than democracy during this period. Most notably, growing government abuses in Uganda<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Mozambique<\/a>\u00a0led both to be downgraded to \u201cmoderate autocracies\u201d. Similar developments in\u00a0Burundi<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Zimbabwe<\/a>\u00a0saw them falling to the index\u2019s least democratic classification: \u201chard-line autocracies\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nothing better epitomises the curtailing of democratic checks and balances than the\u00a0removal of presidential term limits<\/a>, and age limits for the head of state in some countries. For now, restrictions have been respected in more countries than they have been abandoned. But 2015 to 2017 saw the continuation of a worrying trend as leaders in the continent\u2019s most authoritarian states used their control of political systems to set themselves up as presidents for life.<\/p>\n

Following\u00a0Djibouti (2011<\/a>, the\u00a0Republic of Congo (2015)<\/a>, and\u00a0Burundi (2015)<\/a>, term limits on President Paul Kagame were circumvented in\u00a0Rwanda in 2017<\/a>. In Uganda President Yoweri Museveni \u2013 who freed himself from term limits in 2006 \u2013 successfully manoeuvred the passage of legislation that led to the removal of age limits in\u00a0late 2017\u00a0<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Good governance<\/strong><\/em>
\nThe overall trend was also disappointing when it comes to a broader range of governance indicators. On average, the last few years have witnessed a small decline. This is true whether looking at the ability of governments to form consensus, reduce corruption, use resources effectively or build consensus around the best way forward.<\/p>\n

As a result, the number of governments rated as having \u201cgood governance\u201d fell. Namibia and Uganda moved down to the \u201cmoderate\u201d governance category, having previously been rated as \u201cgood\u201d. Egypt, Mozambique and Morocco also declined, in their case from \u201cmoderate\u201d to \u201cweak\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"Namibian<\/a><\/p>\n

Namibian President Hage Geingob. Photo by Foreign and Commonwealth Office \u2013\u00a0www.flickr.com\/photos\/foreignoffice\/5863844792\/<\/a>, OGL,\u00a0commons.wikimedia.org\/w\/index.php?curid=28249682<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

In many of these cases, this trend reflects continued conflict and political instability, a failure to reduce corruption and waste as well as limited government legitimacy. It is also underpinned by slow progress towards regional integration.<\/p>\n

However, it is important to note that problems in this area are not limited to conflict-prone or authoritarian states. The seven countries whose anti-corruption rating fell between 2015 and 2017 featured some of the continent\u2019s more stable and democratic states. These included Ghana, Liberia, Namibia, Senegal and Sierra Leone.<\/p>\n

A divided continent<\/strong><\/em>
\nContinent-wide averages are useful for giving a sense of how things are changing. But they can sometimes hide more than they reveal. This is certainly true of Africa today.<\/p>\n

West and Southern Africa consistently perform better than the continent\u2019s East, Central and North regions when it comes to the quality of both democracy and governance. While many of the continent\u2019s more authoritarian governments have become even more repressive and entrenched, a number of aspiring democracies are holding their own.<\/p>\n

Along with the rising tide of repression in many countries, the last few years have seen peaceful transfers of power in Gambia, Ghana, Liberia and Sierra Leone. Ethiopia saw the emergence of a reformist Prime Minister in\u00a0Abiy Ahmed<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Two countries have also improved their overall ranking. Between 2015 and 2017, Guinea was reclassified from \u201chighly defective democracy\u201d to \u201cdefective democracy\u201d. Similarly, a change of regime meant that, despite ongoing challenges, Burkina Faso jumped two categories, from \u201cmoderate autocracy\u201d to \u201cdefective democracy\u201d.<\/p>\n

The Index shows that as a result of these changes, Africa is becoming increasingly polarised between political extremes. The evidence also suggests that its democratic and authoritarian countries are moving further away from each other.<\/p>\n

This has significant implications for the future, at both the country and African Union level that need to be grappled with now. Generating greater regional political cooperation, for example, will become more difficult given the growing democratic divide.<\/p>\n

Establishing common political standards through the\u00a0African Union<\/a>\u00a0is already problematic. Imagine how tricky it will be when a group of committed democrats face off against a set of entrenched authoritarians.\"The<\/p>\n

Nic Cheeseman\u00a0<\/a>is\u00a0Professor of Democracy\u00a0at the\u00a0University of Birmingham<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n

This article is republished from\u00a0The Conversation<\/a>\u00a0under a Creative Commons license. Read the\u00a0original article<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Nic Cheeseman Guest Contributor Is democracy in Africa in retreat? Or is it simply suffering \u201cgrowing pains\u201d? The last 12 months have seen a great deal of controversy and debate on these important questions. 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Or is it simply suffering \u201cgrowing pains\u201d? The last 12 months have seen a great deal of controversy and debate on these important questions. 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